高级检索
当前位置: 首页 > 详情页

Development of a Novel Model for Predicting Postoperative Short-Term Outcome in Patients with Hepatitis B-Related Acute-on-Chronic Liver Failure Undergoing Liver Transplantation

文献详情

资源类型:
WOS体系:
Pubmed体系:

收录情况: ◇ SCIE

单位: [1]Beijing Friendship Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, PR China [2]General Surgical Center, Beijing Youan Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, PR China
出处:
ISSN:

摘要:
BACKGROUND We aimed to create a novel predictive model through comparing the prognostic accuracy of the current mainstream scoring models in predicting the short-term outcome of patients with hepatitis B-related acute-on-chronic liver failure (HBACLF) undergoing liver transplantation (LT). MATERIAL AND METHODS Data on patients with HBACLF undergoing LT were retrospectively collected and analyzed. The area under the time-dependent receiver operating characteristic curve of 16 scoring models was calculated to evaluate their performance in predicting short-term survival after LT. Univariate analyses and LASSO regression were used to identify the independent variables, which were further selected by Cox stepwise regression. RESULTS A total of 135 patients were enrolled. Among the 16 scoring models, MELD-Na performed the best in predicting 3-month mortality after LT, with an AUC of 0.716. LASSO regression analysis revealed that only the MELD-Na was confirmed as an independent predictor (HR 1.0481, 95% C.I [1.0136, 1.0838], P<0.05). Cox stepwise regression identified 4 variables - MELD-Na, sex, systemic infection, and placement of T-tube during operation - which were used to construct a novel prognostic model with a C-index of 0.844 and a Brier score of 0.131 after internal validation and a C-index of 0.824 (95% C.I [0.658, 0.989]) and a Brier score of 0.119 in the external validation cohort at 3 months. CONCLUSIONS Compared with other scoring models, MELD-Na was an independent factor in predicting short-term outcome after LT. The constructed novel predictive model could exert clinical benefits on early prognostic assessment and case selection.

语种:
WOS:
PubmedID:
中科院(CAS)分区:
出版当年[2021]版:
大类 | 4 区 医学
小类 | 4 区 外科 4 区 移植
最新[2025]版:
大类 | 4 区 医学
小类 | 4 区 外科 4 区 移植
JCR分区:
出版当年[2020]版:
Q4 TRANSPLANTATION Q4 SURGERY
最新[2023]版:
Q3 SURGERY Q3 TRANSPLANTATION

影响因子: 最新[2023版] 最新五年平均[2021-2025] 出版当年[2020版] 出版当年五年平均[2016-2020] 出版前一年[2019版] 出版后一年[2021版]

第一作者:
第一作者单位: [1]Beijing Friendship Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, PR China [2]General Surgical Center, Beijing Youan Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, PR China
通讯作者:
推荐引用方式(GB/T 7714):
APA:
MLA:

资源点击量:1320 今日访问量:0 总访问量:816 更新日期:2025-04-01 建议使用谷歌、火狐浏览器 常见问题

版权所有:重庆聚合科技有限公司 渝ICP备12007440号-3 地址:重庆市两江新区泰山大道西段8号坤恩国际商务中心16层(401121)