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Nomogram Prediction Model of Serum Chloride and Sodium Ions on the Risk of Acute Kidney Injury in Critically Ill Patients

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单位: [1]Capital Med Univ, Beijing Ditan Hosp, Dept Crit Care Med, Beijing, Peoples R China [2]Capital Med Univ, Beijing Friendship Hosp, Dept Crit Care Med, Beijing, Peoples R China [3]Capital Med Univ, Beijing Ditan Hosp, Beijing, Peoples R China [4]Capital Med Univ, Beijing Friendship Hosp, Dept Crit Care Med, 95 Yongan Rd, Beijing 10005, Peoples R China [5]Capital Med Univ, Beijing Ditan Hosp, 8 Jing Shun East St, Chaoyang 100015, Beijing, Peoples R China
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关键词: intensive care unit acute kidney injury hypernatremia hyperchloremia

摘要:
Purpose: This study aims to investigate the effect of serum chloride and sodium ions on AKI occurrence in ICU patients, and further constructs a prediction model containing these factors to explore the predictive value of these ions in AKI.Methods: The clinical information of patients admitted to ICU of Beijing Friendship Hospital Affiliated to Capital Medical University was collected for retrospective analysis. Logistic regression analysis was used to analyzing the influencing factors. A nomogram for predicting AKI risk was constructed with R software and validated by repeated sampling. Afterwards, the effectiveness and accuracy of the model were tested and evaluated.Results: A total of 446 cases met the requirements of this study, of which 178 developed AKI during their stay in ICU, with an incidence rate of 39.9%. Hypernatremia, heart failure, sepsis, APACHE II score, and initial creatinine value and BE value at ICU admission before the diagnosis of AKI were identified as independent risk factors for developing AKI during ICU stay. These predictors were incorporated into the nomogram of AKI risk in critically ill patients, which was constructed by using R software. Receiver operating characteristic curve analysis was further used and showed that the area under the curve of the model was 0.7934 (95% CI 0.742-0.8447), indicating that the model had an ideal value. Finally, further evaluated its clinical effectiveness. The clinical effect curve and decision curve showed that most areas of the decision curve of this model were greater than 0, indicating that this model owned a certain clinical effectiveness. Conclusion: The nomogram based on hypernatremia, heart failure, sepsis, APACHE II score, and initial creatinine and BE value in ICU can predict the individualized risk of AKI with satisfactory distinguishability and accuracy.

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出版当年[2021]版:
大类 | 3 区 医学
小类 | 3 区 传染病学 3 区 药学
最新[2025]版:
大类 | 3 区 医学
小类 | 3 区 药学 4 区 传染病学
JCR分区:
出版当年[2020]版:
Q2 INFECTIOUS DISEASES Q2 PHARMACOLOGY & PHARMACY
最新[2023]版:
Q2 INFECTIOUS DISEASES Q2 PHARMACOLOGY & PHARMACY

影响因子: 最新[2023版] 最新五年平均[2021-2025] 出版当年[2020版] 出版当年五年平均[2016-2020] 出版前一年[2019版] 出版后一年[2021版]

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第一作者单位: [1]Capital Med Univ, Beijing Ditan Hosp, Dept Crit Care Med, Beijing, Peoples R China
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通讯机构: [2]Capital Med Univ, Beijing Friendship Hosp, Dept Crit Care Med, Beijing, Peoples R China [3]Capital Med Univ, Beijing Ditan Hosp, Beijing, Peoples R China [4]Capital Med Univ, Beijing Friendship Hosp, Dept Crit Care Med, 95 Yongan Rd, Beijing 10005, Peoples R China [5]Capital Med Univ, Beijing Ditan Hosp, 8 Jing Shun East St, Chaoyang 100015, Beijing, Peoples R China [*1]Department of Critical Care Medicine, Beijing Friendship Hospital, Capital Medical University, No. 95 Yong’an Road, Xicheng District, Beijing, 10005, People’s Republic of China [*2]Beijing Ditan Hospital, Capital Medical University, #8 Jing Shun East St, Chaoyang, Beijing, 100015, People’s Republic of China
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