Predictive value of the combination of age, creatinine, and ejection fraction score and diabetes in patients with ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention
单位:[1]Capital Med Univ, Beijing Friendship Hosp, Ctr Cardiovasc, Dept Cardiol, 95 Yongan Rd, Beijing 100050, Peoples R China临床科室心血管中心心内科首都医科大学附属北京友谊医院[2]Beijing Key Lab Metab Disorders Related Cardiovas, Beijing, Peoples R China[3]Univ Washington, Div Cardiol, Clin Atherosclerosis Res Lab, Seattle, WA 98195 USA
Background: This study investigated whether the age, creatinine, and ejection fraction (ACEF) score [age (years) /ejection fraction (%) +1 (if creatinine>176 mu mol/L)] could predict 1-year outcomes following ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction after percutaneous coronary intervention, and whether accuracy could be improved by establishing novel ACEF-derived risk models. Methods: A total of 1146 patients were included. The study endpoint was 1-year major adverse cardio-cerebrovascular events, including all-cause death, nonfatal myocardial infarction, unplanned revascularization, and nonfatal stroke. Accuracy was defined with area under the curve by receiver-operating characteristic curve analysis. Results: The incidence of 1-year major adverse cardio-cerebrovascular event increased with the rising age, creatinine, and ejection fraction score tertiles (4.8%, 8.4%, and 15.2%, P < 0.001 for all). Higher ACEF score was significantly associated with an increased risk of the endpoint in overall (odds ratio = 3.75, 95% confidence interval, 2.44-5.77, P < 0.001) and in subgroups (all P < 0.05). The accuracy of the ACEF score was equivalent to the other complex risk scores. The combination of ACEF, and diabetes (ACEF-diabetes score) yielded a superior discriminatory ability than the original ACEF score (increase in C-statistic from 0.67 to 0.71, P = 0.048; continuous net reclassification improvement = 51.9%, 95% confidence interval, 33.4-70.5%, P < 0.001; integrated discrimination improvement = 0.020, 95% confidence interval, 0.011-0.030, P < 0.001). Conclusions: The simplified ACEF score performed well in predicting 1-year outcomes in ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction patients undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention. The novel ACEF-diabetes score provided a better predictive value and thus may help stratify high-risk patients and potentially facilitate decision making.
基金:
National Natural Science Foundation of ChinaNational Natural Science Foundation of China (NSFC) [81670315]; Beijing Natural Science FoundationBeijing Natural Science Foundation [7172059]
第一作者单位:[1]Capital Med Univ, Beijing Friendship Hosp, Ctr Cardiovasc, Dept Cardiol, 95 Yongan Rd, Beijing 100050, Peoples R China
通讯作者:
通讯机构:[1]Capital Med Univ, Beijing Friendship Hosp, Ctr Cardiovasc, Dept Cardiol, 95 Yongan Rd, Beijing 100050, Peoples R China[2]Beijing Key Lab Metab Disorders Related Cardiovas, Beijing, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式(GB/T 7714):
Gao Side,Liu Qingbo,Ding Xiaosong,et al.Predictive value of the combination of age, creatinine, and ejection fraction score and diabetes in patients with ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention[J].CORONARY ARTERY DISEASE.2020,31(2):109-117.doi:10.1097/MCA.0000000000000791.
APA:
Gao, Side,Liu, Qingbo,Ding, Xiaosong,Chen, Hui,Zhao, Xueqiao&Li, Hongwei.(2020).Predictive value of the combination of age, creatinine, and ejection fraction score and diabetes in patients with ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention.CORONARY ARTERY DISEASE,31,(2)
MLA:
Gao, Side,et al."Predictive value of the combination of age, creatinine, and ejection fraction score and diabetes in patients with ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention".CORONARY ARTERY DISEASE 31..2(2020):109-117