ObjectiveTo examine the prognostic value of serum levels of asymmetric dimethylarginine (ADMA) in patients with stable coronary heart disease (CHD) thus explore a potential biomarker of toxin syndrome in CHD.MethodsIn this prospective nested case-control study, 36 of 1,503 Chinese patients with stable CHD experienced at least 1 recurrent cardiovascular event (RCE) during 1-year follow-up. Serum levels of ADMA at the start of follow-up were compared between these 36 cases and 36 controls which matched to cases in terms of gender, age, history of hypertension, and myocardial infarction.ResultsBased on the crude model, subjects in the 2 highest ADMA quartiles showed significantly higher risk of developing RCE than those in the lowest ADMA quartile [odds ratio (OR) 4.09, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.01 to 16.58; OR 6.76, 95% CI 1.57 to 29.07]. This association was also observed in the case-mix model (OR 5.51, 95% CI 1.23 to 24.61; OR 7.83, 95% CI 1.68 to 36.41) and multivariable model (OR 6.64, 95% CI 1.40 to 31.49: OR 13.14, 95% CI 2.28 to 75.71) after adjusting for confounders. The multivariable model which combined ADMA and high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (hsCRP) showed better predictive power with areas under the receiver operator characteristic curves (0.779) than the model of either ADMA (0.694) or hsCRP (0.636).ConclusionSerum ADMA level may be a potential biomarker of toxin syndrome in CHD which shows favorable prognostic value in predicting 1-year RCE in patients with stable CHD. [The registration number is ChiCTR-PRNRC-07000012]