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The impact of ambient fine particles on influenza transmission and the modification effects of temperature in China: A multi-city study

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单位: [1]School of Public Health, University of Queensland, Brisbane, Australia [2]Center for Disease Surveillance & Research, Institute of Disease Control and Prevention, Academy of Military Medical Science, Beijing, China [3]Department of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine, China-Japan Friendship Hospital, Beijing, China [4]School of Public Health, Faculty of Health Sciences, Curtin University, Perth, Australia [5]Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China
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关键词: Ambient fine particles Influenza transmission Temperature China

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Background: There is good evidence that air pollution is a risk factor for adverse respiratory and vascular health outcomes. However, data are limited as to whether ambient fine particles contribute to the transmission of influenza and if so, how the association is modified by weather conditions. Objectives: We examined the relationship between ambient PM2.5 and influenza incidence at the national level in China and explored the associations at different temperatures. Methods: Daily data on concentrations of particulate matter with aerodynamic diameter < 2.5 mu m(PM2.5) and influenza incidence countswere collected in 47 Chinese cities. A Poisson regression model was used to estimate the city-specific PM2.5-influenza association, after controlling for potential confounders. Then, a random-effect meta-analysis was used to pool the effects at national level. In addition, stratified analyses were performed to examine modification effects of ambient temperature. Results: For single lag models, the highest effect of ambient PM2.5 on influenza incidence appeared at lag day 2, with relative risk (RR) of 1.015 (95% confidence interval (CI): 1.004, 1.025) associated with a 10 mu g/m(3) increase in PM2.5. For moving average lag models, the significant association was found at lag 2-3 days, with RR of 1.020 (95% CI: 1.006, 1.034). The RR of influenza transmission associated with PM2.5 was higher for cold compared with hot days. Overall, 10.7% of incident influenza cases may result from exposure to ambient PM2.5. Conclusions: Ambient PM2.5 may increase the risk of exposure to influenza in China especially on cooler days. Control measures to reduce PM2.5 concentrations could potentially also be of benefit in lowering the risk of exposure and subsequent transmission of influenza in China. (C) 2016 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.

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出版当年[2016]版:
大类 | 1 区 环境科学与生态学
小类 | 1 区 环境科学
最新[2025]版:
大类 | 1 区 环境科学与生态学
小类 | 1 区 环境科学
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出版当年[2015]版:
Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES
最新[2023]版:
Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES

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第一作者单位: [1]School of Public Health, University of Queensland, Brisbane, Australia
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通讯机构: [1]School of Public Health, University of Queensland, Brisbane, Australia [*1]Division of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, The University of Queensland, Brisbane, QLD 4006, Australia.
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