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Long-term prognosis of adolescent and middle-aged Chinese patients with low-medium risk community-acquired pneumonia: A cohort study

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单位: [1]China Japan Friendship Hosp, Dept Pulm & Crit Care Med, Ctr Resp Med, Beijing 100029, Peoples R China [2]Natl Clin Res Ctr Resp Dis, Beijing, Peoples R China [3]Capital Med Univ, Beijing Luhe Hosp, Dept Infect Dis, Beijing, Peoples R China [4]Peking Univ, Hlth Sci Ctr, Sch Publ Hlth, Dept Epidemiol & Biostat, Beijing, Peoples R China [5]Third Peoples Hosp Shenzhen City Guangdong Prov, Clin Lab, Shenzhen, Peoples R China [6]Capital Med Univ, Dept Resp Med, Clin Ctr Pulm Infect, Beijing, Peoples R China [7]Tsinghua Univ Peking Univ Joint Ctr Life Sci, Beijing, Peoples R China [8]Chinese Acad Med Sci & Peking Union Med Coll, Beijing, Peoples R China
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关键词: community-acquired pneumonia follow-up long-term mortality rate prognostic factors

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Introduction The long-term mortality rate in adolescent and middle-aged patients with low-medium risk community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) remains unelucidated. Objective Understanding the long-term mortality rate in adolescent and middle-aged patients with low-medium risk CAP in Beijing, China, to provide a basis for the long-term management of CAP patient. Methods A follow-up survey was conducted telephonically from December 2017 to January 2018 to assess the survival status among 808 patients from a CAP-China cohort enrolled from 10 general hospitals in Beijing between November 2010 and April 2012. The all-cause mortality rate was determined and Cox's proportional hazard model was performed to identify potential factors predicting mortality. Results Among the 808 patients, the mean age (SD) was 45.4 (19.6) year-old and the median (IQR) pneumonia severity index (PSI) score was 42.0 (35.8). Survival status for a total of 426 (52.7%) were determined during the follow-up and the non-follow-up patients were with slightly larger PSI score. The mean age (SD) for the follow-up patients were 44.6 (18.7) year-old and the median (IQR) PSI score was 42.0 (33.3). Over a median of 7 years, 32 participants died and the cumulative 1-, 3-, 5- and 7-year all-cause mortality rates were 1.6%, 4.2%, 5.9% and 7.5%, respectively. The average annual standardized mortality rate among the study participants was 9.79%, which was significantly higher than the mortality rate of 5.20 parts per thousand among Beijing residents in 2016. Multivariable Cox proportional hazards analyses revealed that age, comorbidity and PSI were independent prognostic factors associated with long-term mortality, with hazard ratios of 4.953 (95% confidence interval [CI]3.270-7.502), 2.393 (95% CI 1.148-4.985) and 3.553 (95% CI 2.607-4.843), respectively. Conclusion The long-term mortality rate is higher among patients with CAP compared with the age-adjusted general population in the same city. Age, comorbidity and initial PSI class are independently prognostic factors for the long-term mortality rate.

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出版当年[2019]版:
大类 | 4 区 医学
小类 | 4 区 呼吸系统
最新[2025]版:
大类 | 4 区 医学
小类 | 4 区 呼吸系统
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Q4 RESPIRATORY SYSTEM
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第一作者单位: [1]China Japan Friendship Hosp, Dept Pulm & Crit Care Med, Ctr Resp Med, Beijing 100029, Peoples R China [2]Natl Clin Res Ctr Resp Dis, Beijing, Peoples R China [3]Capital Med Univ, Beijing Luhe Hosp, Dept Infect Dis, Beijing, Peoples R China
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通讯机构: [1]China Japan Friendship Hosp, Dept Pulm & Crit Care Med, Ctr Resp Med, Beijing 100029, Peoples R China [2]Natl Clin Res Ctr Resp Dis, Beijing, Peoples R China [6]Capital Med Univ, Dept Resp Med, Clin Ctr Pulm Infect, Beijing, Peoples R China [7]Tsinghua Univ Peking Univ Joint Ctr Life Sci, Beijing, Peoples R China [8]Chinese Acad Med Sci & Peking Union Med Coll, Beijing, Peoples R China
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