单位:[1]Graduate School, Beijing University of Chinese Medicine, Beijing, China[2]International Medical Services, China-Japan Friendship Hospital, Beijing, China[3]Institute of Clinical Medical Sciences, China-Japan Friendship Hospital, Beijing, China
Background We prepared a meta-analysis on case reports in children with COVID-19, aiming to identify potential risk factors for severe illness and to develop a prediction model for risk assessment. Methods Literature retrieval, case report selection, and data extraction were independently completed by two authors. STATA software (version 14.1) and R programming environment (v4.0.2) were used for data handling. Results This meta-analysis was conducted based on 52 case reports, including 203 children (96 boys) with COVID-19. By severity, 26 (12.94%), 160 (79.60%), and 15 (7.46%) children were diagnosed as asymptomatic, mild/moderate, and severe cases, respectively. After adjusting for age and sex, 11 factors were found to be significantly associated with the risk of severe illness relative to asymptomatic or mild/moderate illness, especially for dyspnea/tachypnea (odds ratio, 95% confidence interval, P: 6.61, 4.12-9.09, <0.001) and abnormal chest X-ray (3.33, 1.84-4.82, <0.001). A nomogram modeling age, comorbidity, cough, dyspnea or tachypnea, CRP, and LDH was developed, and prediction performance was good as reflected by the C-index. Conclusions Our findings provide systematic evidence for the contribution of comorbidity, cough, dyspnea or tachypnea, CRP, and LDH, both individually and jointly, to develop severe symptoms in children with asymptomatic or mild/moderate COVID-19. Impact We have identified potential risk factors for severe illness in children with COVID-19. We have developed a prediction model to facilitate risk assessment in children with COVID-19. We found the contribution of five risk factors to develop severe symptoms in children with asymptomatic or mild/moderate COVID-19.
第一作者单位:[1]Graduate School, Beijing University of Chinese Medicine, Beijing, China[2]International Medical Services, China-Japan Friendship Hospital, Beijing, China
共同第一作者:
通讯作者:
推荐引用方式(GB/T 7714):
Zhou Bo,Yuan Yuan,Wang Shunan,et al.Risk profiles of severe illness in children with COVID-19: a meta-analysis of individual patients[J].PEDIATRIC RESEARCH.2021,90(2):347-352.doi:10.1038/s41390-021-01429-2.
APA:
Zhou, Bo,Yuan, Yuan,Wang, Shunan,Zhang, Zhixin,Yang, Min...&Niu, Wenquan.(2021).Risk profiles of severe illness in children with COVID-19: a meta-analysis of individual patients.PEDIATRIC RESEARCH,90,(2)
MLA:
Zhou, Bo,et al."Risk profiles of severe illness in children with COVID-19: a meta-analysis of individual patients".PEDIATRIC RESEARCH 90..2(2021):347-352