Comparative effectiveness and safety of 32 pharmacological interventions recommended by guidelines for coronavirus disease 2019: a systematic review and network meta-analysis combining 66 trials
单位:[1]Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Peking University Health Science Centre, Beijing 100191, China[2]Department of Clinical Epidemiology and EBM, Beijing Friendship Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing 100050, China医技科室北京市临床医学研究所国家消化中心(方法学平台)首都医科大学附属北京友谊医院[3]National Clinical Research Center of Digestive Diseases, Beijing Friendship Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing 100050, China首都医科大学附属北京友谊医院[4]Primary Care Unit, Department of Public Health and Primary Care, School of Clinical Medicine, University of Cambridge, Cambridge CB18RN, UK[5]Department of Clinical Epidemiology and Biostatistics, McMaster University, Hamilton L8S4K1, Canada[6]Department of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine, Peking University Third Hospital, Beijing 100191, China
Background: The global pandemic coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) has become a major public health problem and presents an unprecedented challenge. However, no specific drugs were currently proven. This study aimed to evaluate the comparative efficacy and safety of pharmacological interventions in patients with COVID-19. Methods: Medline, Embase, the Cochrane Library, and clinicaltrials.gov were searched for randomized controlled trials (RCTs) in patients infected with severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2)/SARS-CoV. Random-effects network meta-analysis within the Bayesian framework was performed, followed by the Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development, and Evaluation system assessing the quality of evidence. The primary outcome of interest includes mortality, cure, viral negative conversion, and overall adverse events (OAEs). Odds ratio (OR) with 95% confidence interval (CI) was calculated as the measure of effect size. Results: Sixty-six RCTs with 19,095 patients were included, involving standard of care (SOC), eight different antiviral agents, six different antibiotics, high and low dose chloroquine (CQ_HD, CQ_LD), traditional Chinese medicine (TCM), corticosteroids (COR), and other treatments. Compared with SOC, a significant reduction of mortality was observed for TCM (OR = 0.34, 95% CI: 0.20-0.56, moderate quality) and COR (OR = 0.84, 95% CI: 0.75-0.96, low quality) with improved cure rate (OR = 2.16, 95% CI: 1.60-2.91, low quality for TCM; OR = 1.17, 95% CI: 1.05-1.30, low quality for COR). However, an increased risk of mortality was found for CQ_HD vs. SOC (OR = 3.20, 95% CI: 1.18-8.73, low quality). TCM was associated with decreased risk of OAE (OR = 0.52, 95% CI: 0.38-0.70, very low quality) but CQ_HD (OR = 2.51, 95% CI: 1.20-5.24) and interferons (IFN) (OR = 2.69, 95% CI: 1.02-7.08) vs. SOC with very low quality were associated with an increased risk. Conclusions: COR and TCM may reduce mortality and increase cure rate with no increased risk of OAEs compared with standard care. CQ_HD might increase the risk of mortality. CQ, IFN, and other antiviral agents could increase the risk of OAEs. The current evidence is generally uncertain with low-quality and further high-quality trials are needed.
基金:
National Natural Science Foundation of ChinaNational Natural Science Foundation of China (NSFC) [72074011]; Special Project for Major Infectious Disease of Peking University Health Program of China [BMU2020HKYZX010]; National Key Technology R&D Program of ChinaNational Key Technology R&D Program [2020YFC0840800]
第一作者单位:[1]Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Peking University Health Science Centre, Beijing 100191, China[2]Department of Clinical Epidemiology and EBM, Beijing Friendship Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing 100050, China[3]National Clinical Research Center of Digestive Diseases, Beijing Friendship Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing 100050, China
通讯作者:
通讯机构:[1]Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Peking University Health Science Centre, Beijing 100191, China[*1]Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Peking University Health Science Centre, Beijing 100191, China[*2]Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Peking University Health Science Centre, Beijing 100191, China
推荐引用方式(GB/T 7714):
Shan-Shan Wu,Qing-Xin Zhou,Xue-Yang Zeng,et al.Comparative effectiveness and safety of 32 pharmacological interventions recommended by guidelines for coronavirus disease 2019: a systematic review and network meta-analysis combining 66 trials[J].CHINESE MEDICAL JOURNAL.2021,134(16):1920-1929.doi:10.1097/CM9.0000000000001672.
APA:
Shan-Shan Wu,Qing-Xin Zhou,Xue-Yang Zeng,Jing-Xue Zhang,Zhi-Rong Yang...&Si-Yan Zhan.(2021).Comparative effectiveness and safety of 32 pharmacological interventions recommended by guidelines for coronavirus disease 2019: a systematic review and network meta-analysis combining 66 trials.CHINESE MEDICAL JOURNAL,134,(16)
MLA:
Shan-Shan Wu,et al."Comparative effectiveness and safety of 32 pharmacological interventions recommended by guidelines for coronavirus disease 2019: a systematic review and network meta-analysis combining 66 trials".CHINESE MEDICAL JOURNAL 134..16(2021):1920-1929