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An Applicable Machine Learning Model Based on Preoperative Examinations Predicts Histology, Stage, and Grade for Endometrial Cancer

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单位: [1]Capital Med Univ, Beijing Friendship Hosp, Dept Ultrasound, Beijing, Peoples R China [2]Maastricht Univ, Med Ctr, GROW Sch Oncol & Reprod, Dept Radiat Oncol Maastro, Maastricht, Netherlands [3]Capital Med Univ, Beijing Chao Yang Hosp, Dept Obstet & Gynecol, Beijing, Peoples R China [4]Maastricht Univ, Med Ctr, GROW Sch Oncol & Dev Biol, Dept Obstet & Gynecol, Maastricht, Netherlands
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关键词: machine learning endometrial carcinoma diagnosis prediction random forest preoperatively

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PurposeTo build a machine learning model to predict histology (type I and type II), stage, and grade preoperatively for endometrial carcinoma to quickly give a diagnosis and assist in improving the accuracy of the diagnosis, which can help patients receive timely, appropriate, and effective treatment. Materials and MethodsThis study used a retrospective database of preoperative examinations (tumor markers, imaging, diagnostic curettage, etc.) in patients with endometrial carcinoma. Three algorithms (random forest, logistic regression, and deep neural network) were used to build models. The AUC and accuracy were calculated. Furthermore, the performance of machine learning models, doctors' prediction, and doctors with the assistance of models were compared. ResultsA total of 329 patients were included in this study with 16 features (age, BMI, stage, grade, histology, etc.). A random forest algorithm had the highest AUC and Accuracy. For histology prediction, AUC and accuracy was 0.69 (95% CI=0.67-0.70) and 0.81 (95%CI=0.79-0.82). For stage they were 0.66 (95% CI=0.64-0.69) and 0.63 (95% CI=0.61-0.65) and for differentiation grade 0.64 (95% CI=0.63-0.65) and 0.43 (95% CI=0.41-0.44). The average accuracy of doctors for histology, stage, and grade was 0.86 (with AI) and 0.79 (without AI), 0.64 and 0.53, 0.5 and 0.45, respectively. The accuracy of doctors' prediction with AI was higher than that of Random Forest alone and doctors' prediction without AI. ConclusionA random forest model can predict histology, stage, and grade of endometrial cancer preoperatively and can help doctors in obtaining a better diagnosis and predictive results.

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出版当年[2021]版:
大类 | 3 区 医学
小类 | 3 区 肿瘤学
最新[2025]版:
大类 | 3 区 医学
小类 | 4 区 肿瘤学
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出版当年[2020]版:
Q2 ONCOLOGY
最新[2023]版:
Q2 ONCOLOGY

影响因子: 最新[2023版] 最新五年平均[2021-2025] 出版当年[2020版] 出版当年五年平均[2016-2020] 出版前一年[2019版] 出版后一年[2021版]

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第一作者单位: [1]Capital Med Univ, Beijing Friendship Hosp, Dept Ultrasound, Beijing, Peoples R China
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