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Effect of ambient temperature and other environmental factors on stroke emergency department visits in Beijing: A distributed lag non-linear model

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单位: [1]Tianjin Med Univ, Sch Publ Hlth, Dept Epidemiol & Biostat, Tianjin, Peoples R China [2]China Japan Friendship Hosp, Ctr Resp Med, Natl Clin Res Ctr Resp Dis, Dept Pulm & Crit Care Med, Beijing, Peoples R China [3]Zhejiang Univ, Ocean Coll, Zhoushan, Peoples R China [4]Zhejiang Univ, Ocean Acad, Zhoushan, Peoples R China [5]Monash Univ, Sch Publ Hlth & Prevent Med, Dept Epidemiol & Prevent Med, Melbourne, Vic, Australia [6]Chinese PLA Ctr Dis Control & Prevent, Beijing, Peoples R China
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关键词: stroke ambient temperature environmental factors generalized additive model distributed lag non-linear model

摘要:
BackgroundMost studies have focused on the relationship between ambient temperature and stroke mortality, but studies on the relationship between ambient temperature and stroke occurrence are still limited and inconsistent. ObjectiveThis study aimed to analyze the effect of ambient temperature and other environmental factors on emergency stroke visits in Beijing. MethodsOur study utilized stroke visit data from the Beijing Red Cross Emergency Medical Center during 2017-2018, and applied a generalized additive model (GAM) as well as a distributed lag non-linear model (DLNM), respectively, regarding the direct, lagged, and cumulative effects of ambient temperature alone and with correction for other environmental factors on stroke occurrence. ResultsWith a total of 26,984 emergency stroke patients in 2017-2018, both cold and hot effects were observed and weakened after correction for other environmental factors. Compared to the reference temperature, in the multi-factor model, extreme cold (-10 degrees C) reached a maximum relative risk (RR) of 1.20 [95% Confidence Interval (CI): 1.09, 1.32] at lag 14 days, and extreme hot (30 degrees C) had a maximum RR of 1.07 (95% CI: 1.04, 1.11) at lag 6 days. The cumulative effect of extreme cold reached a maximum of 2.02 (95% CI: 1.11, 3.67) at lag 0-14 days, whereas the cumulative effect of extreme hot temperature is greatest at lag 0-10 days, but no statistically significant effect was found. In addition, ischemic stroke patients, the elderly, and males were more susceptible to the effects of cold temperature. ConclusionsThere is a non-linear relationship between ambient temperature and stroke occurrence, with cold temperature having a greater and longer-lasting impact than hot temperature.

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出版当年[2021]版:
大类 | 3 区 医学
小类 | 3 区 公共卫生、环境卫生与职业卫生
最新[2025]版:
大类 | 3 区 医学
小类 | 3 区 公共卫生、环境卫生与职业卫生
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出版当年[2020]版:
Q1 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Q2 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH
最新[2023]版:
Q2 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH

影响因子: 最新[2023版] 最新五年平均[2021-2025] 出版当年[2020版] 出版当年五年平均[2016-2020] 出版前一年[2019版] 出版后一年[2021版]

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第一作者单位: [1]Tianjin Med Univ, Sch Publ Hlth, Dept Epidemiol & Biostat, Tianjin, Peoples R China
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