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A Risk Prediction Model by LASSO for Radiation-Induced Xerostomia in Patients With Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma Treated With Comprehensive Salivary Gland-Sparing Helical Tomotherapy Technique

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单位: [1]Department of Radiation Oncology, China-Japan Friendship Hospital, Beijing, China [2]Department of Radiation Oncology, Medical School of the Chinese People’s Liberation Army (PLA), Beijing, China [3]Affiliated Foshan Maternity and Child Healthcare Hospital, Southern Medical University, Foshan, China [4]Department of Radiation Oncology, Nanfang Hospital, Southern Medical University, Guangzhou, China [5]Department of Radiation Oncology, Armed Police Corps Hospital of Henan Province, Zhengzhou, China [6]Department of Radiation Oncology, First Medical Center of Chinese PLA General Hospital, Beijing, China [7]Departmant of Otorhinolaryngology, First Medical Center of Chinese PLA General Hospital, Beijing, China [8]School of Data Science and Media Intelligence, Communication University of China, Beijing, China [9]State Key Laboratory of Media Convergence and Communication, Communication University of China, Beijing, China
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关键词: xerostomia nasopharyngeal carcinoma prediction model LASSO helical tomotherapy technique

摘要:
Objective This study aimed to develop a least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO)-based multivariable normal tissue complication probability (NTCP) model to predict radiation-induced xerostomia in patients with nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) treated with comprehensive salivary gland-sparing helical tomotherapy technique. Methods and Materials LASSO with the extended bootstrapping technique was used to build multivariable NTCP models to predict factors of patient-reported xerostomia relieved by 50% and 80% compared with the level at the end of radiation therapy within 1 year and 2 years, R50-1year and R80-2years, in 203 patients with NPC. The model assessment was based on 10-fold cross-validation and the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC). Results The prediction model by LASSO with 10-fold cross-validation showed that radiation-induced xerostomia recovery could be predicted by prognostic factors of R50-1year (age, gender, T stage, UICC/AJCC stage, parotid Dmean, oral cavity Dmean, and treatment options) and R80-2years (age, gender, T stage, UICC/AJCC stage, oral cavity Dmean, N stage, and treatment options). These prediction models also demonstrated a good performance by the AUC. Conclusion The prediction models of R50-1year and R80-2years by LASSO with 10-fold cross-validation were recommended to validate the NTCP model before comprehensive salivary gland-sparing radiation therapy in patients with NPC.

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出版当年[2020]版:
大类 | 2 区 医学
小类 | 3 区 肿瘤学
最新[2025]版:
大类 | 3 区 医学
小类 | 4 区 肿瘤学
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出版当年[2019]版:
Q2 ONCOLOGY
最新[2023]版:
Q2 ONCOLOGY

影响因子: 最新[2023版] 最新五年平均[2021-2025] 出版当年[2019版] 出版当年五年平均[2015-2019] 出版前一年[2018版] 出版后一年[2020版]

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第一作者单位: [1]Department of Radiation Oncology, China-Japan Friendship Hospital, Beijing, China [2]Department of Radiation Oncology, Medical School of the Chinese People’s Liberation Army (PLA), Beijing, China
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通讯机构: [2]Department of Radiation Oncology, Medical School of the Chinese People’s Liberation Army (PLA), Beijing, China [6]Department of Radiation Oncology, First Medical Center of Chinese PLA General Hospital, Beijing, China [8]School of Data Science and Media Intelligence, Communication University of China, Beijing, China [9]State Key Laboratory of Media Convergence and Communication, Communication University of China, Beijing, China
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