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Prediction model for anastomotic leakage after laparoscopic rectal cancer resection

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单位: [1]Department of General Surgery, Beijing Friendship Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing Key Laboratory of Cancer Invasion and Metastasis Research & National Clinical Research Center for Digestive Diseases, Beijing, P.R. China
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关键词: Anastomotic leakage laparoscopic surgery prediction model rectal cancer receiver operating characteristic curve risk factors

摘要:
Objective This study was performed to identify risk factors for anastomotic leakage (AL) and combine these factors to create a prediction model for the risk of AL after laparoscopic rectal cancer resection. Methods This retrospective study involved 185 patients with rectal cancer who underwent laparoscopic resection from March 2012 to February 2017. Five risk factors were analyzed by multivariate analysis. A prediction model was established by combining the risk factors from the multivariate analysis, and the accuracy of the model was evaluated by a receiver operating characteristic curve. Results The overall AL rate was 17.84%. The multivariate analysis identified the following independent risk factors for AL: high body mass index (odds ratio [OR], 3.009; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.127-7.125), preoperative radiochemotherapy (OR, 3.778; 95% CI, 1.168-12.219), larger tumor size (OR, 2.710; 95% CI, 1.119-6.562), and longer surgical time (OR, 2.476; 95% CI, 1.033-5.932). We established a prediction model that can evaluate the risk of AL by determining the predictive probability. The area under the curve for the model's predictive performance was 0.70 (95% CI, 0.598-0.795). Conclusion A prediction model was created to predict the risk of AL after laparoscopic rectal cancer resection.

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出版当年[2019]版:
大类 | 4 区 医学
小类 | 4 区 医学:研究与实验 4 区 药学
最新[2025]版:
大类 | 4 区 医学
小类 | 4 区 医学:研究与实验 4 区 药学
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出版当年[2018]版:
Q4 PHARMACOLOGY & PHARMACY Q4 MEDICINE, RESEARCH & EXPERIMENTAL
最新[2023]版:
Q4 MEDICINE, RESEARCH & EXPERIMENTAL Q4 PHARMACOLOGY & PHARMACY

影响因子: 最新[2023版] 最新五年平均[2021-2025] 出版当年[2018版] 出版当年五年平均[2014-2018] 出版前一年[2017版] 出版后一年[2019版]

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第一作者单位: [1]Department of General Surgery, Beijing Friendship Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing Key Laboratory of Cancer Invasion and Metastasis Research & National Clinical Research Center for Digestive Diseases, Beijing, P.R. China
通讯作者:
通讯机构: [1]Department of General Surgery, Beijing Friendship Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing Key Laboratory of Cancer Invasion and Metastasis Research & National Clinical Research Center for Digestive Diseases, Beijing, P.R. China [*1]Department of General Surgery, Beijing Friendship Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing Key Laboratory of Cancer Invasion and Metastasis Research & National Clinical Research Center for Digestive Diseases, 95 Yongan Road, Xi Cheng District, Beijing 100050, P.R. China.
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