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Development of a multivariable clinical prediction model for liposomal doxorubicin-induced cardiotoxicity in adult breast cancer patients: a retrospective multicenter study

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单位: [1]Capital Med Univ, Beijing Friendship Hosp, Dept Pharm, 95 Yongan Rd, Beijing 100050, Peoples R China [2]Peking Univ Canc Hosp & Inst, Dept Pharm, Minist Educ Beijing, Key Lab Carcinogenesis & Translat Res, Beijing, Peoples R China [3]Shanxi Prov Canc Hosp, Dept Pharm, Taiyuan, Peoples R China
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关键词: Breast cancer liposomal doxorubicin cardiotoxicity prediction model risk score

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Background: The clinical use of anthracydines is limited by the risk of cardiotoxicity. So, we aim to develop a clinical prediction model for liposomal doxorubicin-induced cardiotoxicity in adult breast cancer patients. Methods: We designed a multicenter retrospective cohort study. A total of 257 hospitalized breast cancer patients treated with doxorubicin liposomes were finally enrolled in the study, including 58 patients from Beijing Friendship Hospital and 199 from Beijing Cancer I Iospital. In all, 32 cases developed cardiotoxicity, including 4 at the Beijing Friendship Hospital and 28 at the Beijing Cancer Hospital. The study involved breast cancer patients with no pre-existing heart disease, whose clinical data were collected from their medical records. All patients underwent electrocardiogram (ECG) and/or left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) measurements prior to treatment with doxorubicin liposomes. Patients were clinically assessed after each cycle of treatment, and ECG and/or LVEF measurements were performed at least once after treatment. Liposomal doxorubicin-induced cardiotoxicity was defined when one of the following three conditions was met: (I) a reduction in LVEF of at least 5% from the baseline and the absolute value was less than 55%, accompanied by congestive heart failure (CHF) symptoms or signs; (II) a reduction in LVEF of at least 10% to an absolute value of less than 55%, without CHF symptoms or signs; (III) the definite diagnosis of CHF. Variables associated with cardiotoxicity were identified by univariate and multivariate logistic regression, and the consistency and differentiation of the final model were evaluated. Results: In our final model, age [odds ratio (OR): 5.626, 95% confidence interval (CI): 2.321 to 13.639], cancer metastasis (OR: 3.873, 95% CI: 1.220 to 12.299), paclitaxel (OR: 3.601, 95% CI: 1.010 to 12.843), and hypertension (OR: 2.435, 95% CI: 1.046 to 5.671) were significantly associated with cardiotoxicity. The final model was tested for Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit, the chi(2) was 2.696 and the P value was 0.747, and the resultant predictive model had an area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC; AUC) curve of 0.781. Conclusions: This study established a risk prediction model for liposomal doxorubicin-induced cardiotoxicity in breast cancer patients and performed a stratified risk scores

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出版当年[2021]版:
大类 | 4 区 医学
小类 | 4 区 肿瘤学 4 区 医学:研究与实验
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Q3 ONCOLOGY Q3 MEDICINE, RESEARCH & EXPERIMENTAL
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第一作者单位: [1]Capital Med Univ, Beijing Friendship Hosp, Dept Pharm, 95 Yongan Rd, Beijing 100050, Peoples R China
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