Development of a multivariable clinical prediction model for liposomal doxorubicin-induced cardiotoxicity in adult breast cancer patients: a retrospective multicenter study
Background: The clinical use of anthracydines is limited by the risk of cardiotoxicity. So, we aim to develop a clinical prediction model for liposomal doxorubicin-induced cardiotoxicity in adult breast cancer patients. Methods: We designed a multicenter retrospective cohort study. A total of 257 hospitalized breast cancer patients treated with doxorubicin liposomes were finally enrolled in the study, including 58 patients from Beijing Friendship Hospital and 199 from Beijing Cancer I Iospital. In all, 32 cases developed cardiotoxicity, including 4 at the Beijing Friendship Hospital and 28 at the Beijing Cancer Hospital. The study involved breast cancer patients with no pre-existing heart disease, whose clinical data were collected from their medical records. All patients underwent electrocardiogram (ECG) and/or left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) measurements prior to treatment with doxorubicin liposomes. Patients were clinically assessed after each cycle of treatment, and ECG and/or LVEF measurements were performed at least once after treatment. Liposomal doxorubicin-induced cardiotoxicity was defined when one of the following three conditions was met: (I) a reduction in LVEF of at least 5% from the baseline and the absolute value was less than 55%, accompanied by congestive heart failure (CHF) symptoms or signs; (II) a reduction in LVEF of at least 10% to an absolute value of less than 55%, without CHF symptoms or signs; (III) the definite diagnosis of CHF. Variables associated with cardiotoxicity were identified by univariate and multivariate logistic regression, and the consistency and differentiation of the final model were evaluated. Results: In our final model, age [odds ratio (OR): 5.626, 95% confidence interval (CI): 2.321 to 13.639], cancer metastasis (OR: 3.873, 95% CI: 1.220 to 12.299), paclitaxel (OR: 3.601, 95% CI: 1.010 to 12.843), and hypertension (OR: 2.435, 95% CI: 1.046 to 5.671) were significantly associated with cardiotoxicity. The final model was tested for Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit, the chi(2) was 2.696 and the P value was 0.747, and the resultant predictive model had an area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC; AUC) curve of 0.781. Conclusions: This study established a risk prediction model for liposomal doxorubicin-induced cardiotoxicity in breast cancer patients and performed a stratified risk scores
第一作者单位:[1]Capital Med Univ, Beijing Friendship Hosp, Dept Pharm, 95 Yongan Rd, Beijing 100050, Peoples R China
通讯作者:
推荐引用方式(GB/T 7714):
Sun Yiqi,Ping Yaodong,Miao Simeng,et al.Development of a multivariable clinical prediction model for liposomal doxorubicin-induced cardiotoxicity in adult breast cancer patients: a retrospective multicenter study[J].ANNALS of TRANSLATIONAL MEDICINE.2022,10(10):doi:10.21037/atm-22-1935.
APA:
Sun, Yiqi,Ping, Yaodong,Miao, Simeng,Li, Zhe,Pan, Chen...&Li, Xingang.(2022).Development of a multivariable clinical prediction model for liposomal doxorubicin-induced cardiotoxicity in adult breast cancer patients: a retrospective multicenter study.ANNALS of TRANSLATIONAL MEDICINE,10,(10)
MLA:
Sun, Yiqi,et al."Development of a multivariable clinical prediction model for liposomal doxorubicin-induced cardiotoxicity in adult breast cancer patients: a retrospective multicenter study".ANNALS of TRANSLATIONAL MEDICINE 10..10(2022)